Tropical Storm Time again....(Indian Ocean)

Serra Moz

Sealiner
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 2100 GMT
System 94S
Position 23.6S 38.8E
Location 535 miles SW of Antananarivo, Madagascar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is MEDIUM

Maybe just the start of many to come???????
 

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Serra Moz

Sealiner
http://www.stormchasing.co.za/

register, keeps one updated... Not much news on tropical one mentioned in first post??? So all cool for now.
 

Serra Moz

Sealiner
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/tracker/dynamic/S.html

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/?index_region=io

Even better for the guys who like checking out weather/storms ect...
 

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Serra Moz

Sealiner
Check this out, looks bad for Madagascar, not sure if it will enter the channel? Worth keeping an eye on this for us okes on the East Coast Tanzania, Moz and KZN....
 

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Serra Moz

Sealiner
Look at the track, don't know what it will do when this "ugly one" pass the the southern part of Madagascar, hopefully weak by then? Thus no problems in the Channel....
 

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Serra Moz

Sealiner
On Jan. 28, Tropical Storm 13S was renamed "Felleng." La Reunion Island has also assigned "07/20132013" to the storm because it will be affected by Felleng on its track to the west.

NASA's Aqua satellite passed over Tropical Storm Felleng on Jan. 28 at 0929 UTC (4:29 a.m. EST) and the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument captured an image of the storm's cloud top temperatures. AIRS observes in infrared light, which basically provides temperature information. In respect to tropical cyclones, the higher the thunderstorms (they're made up of hundreds of thunderstorms), the colder the clouds, and the stronger the thunderstorms. AIRS data showed that cloud top temperatures around the center of Felleng were as cold as -63 Fahrenheit (-52 Celsius). Those strong storms are indicative of areas where heavy rain is falling.

AIRS imagery also showed that bands of thunderstorms were wrapped tightly around Felleng's center indicating that the storm was well-organized. AIRS data also showed that the storm is symmetrical. A non-symmetrical storm usually weakens, while symmetrical storms have the potential to strengthen.

On Jan. 28 at 1500 UTC (10 a.m. EST), Felleng had maximum sustained winds near 45 knots (51.7 mph/83.3 kph). Tropical-storm-force winds extend about 60 nautical miles (69 miles/111 km) from the center. Felleng was located near 13.3 south latitude and 58.4 east longitude, about 500 nautical miles (576 miles/926 km) north-northeast of La Reunion Island. Felleng is moving to the west at 10 knots (11.5 mph/18.5 kph).

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center expects Tropical Storm Felleng to intensify over the next several days as it moves west. Felleng is expected to reach hurricane (cyclone) strength as it approaches Madagascar's east coast, and then it is forecast to be pushed south by an approaching area of low pressure. Felleng is forecast to move south and travel between eastern Madagascar and La Reunion Island by Feb. 1.
 

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Serra Moz

Sealiner
Sat pic....looks evil!!!...but gonna pass - if it keeps on the predicted track!
 

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Tsutsuma

Senior Member
Thanks for this Post - keep it Up dated =
as you very well know we are at the stage very sensitive for more rain in Mozambique
 

Serra Moz

Sealiner
Antananarivo - Six people have died and three are missing after tropical cyclone Felleng raged through Madagascar, the national disaster management agency said on Saturday.

"Felleng has gone, it's now 500km east of [southern] Fort Dauphin. We have accounted for six deaths, three people missing and about 800 people affected in the capital" Antananarivo, Raymond Randriatahina, the agency's executive secretary, said by telephone.

While other parts of the Indian Ocean island were largely spared by the cyclone, Antananarivo, in north-central Madagascar, was particularly affected.

As the waters rose in the Mamba river, many of the capital's homes were flooded as well as several hundred hectares of rice fields, forcing residents to move to tent camps set up by the authorities.

As the cyclone weakened and travelled out to sea, rescue workers on Saturday left the northeastern part of Madagascar and all alerts were lifted.

Felleng had barrelled along the island's eastern and northeastern coast on Wednesday and Thursday, measuring around 400km in diameter and bringing gusts of up to 250km an hour.

Madagascar, off the southeastern coast of Africa, is among the world's islands most vulnerable to cyclones. It has seen 45 cyclones and tropical storms in the past decade.

Cyclone Giovanna and tropical storm Irina last year killed 112 people and affected 90 000.
 
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