Weather predictions

[Albie Stoeder]

Why is there always such a big difference between the different web sites? For this coming Sunday for Plett magicseaweed predic a wind from 4km/h - 22km/h between E and SSE. Windgru predic's for the same period the following, a WSW from 13km/h - 47km/h. Now the question is who do you believe? See the following links.

http://magicseaweed.com/Plettenberg-Bay-Surf-Report/711/ and this one http://www.windguru.cz/int/index.php?sc=79448 Also see the one is with rain and the other one not.:headbvvidevb

 

[Mouldz]

Albie Stoeder wrote:

Why is there always such a big difference between the different web sites? For this coming Sunday for Plett magicseaweed predic a wind from 4km/h - 22km/h between E and SSE. Windgru predic's for the same period the following, a WSW from 13km/h - 47km/h. Now the question is who do you believe? See the following links.

http://magicseaweed.com/Plettenberg-Bay-Surf-Report/711/ and this one http://www.windguru.cz/int/index.php?sc=79448 Also see the one is with rain and the other one not.:headbvvidevb

I have given up with all weather reports,get up in the morning and try suss it out for the day.
I am convinced each site is sponsored by a different sport group,the one gives a report that will please the surfers,the other one that will please the farmer,i.e,rain.and another to please the fisherman

 

[Albie Stoeder]

Same here, but when you leave home in the morning at 2h00 and they predic a not to bad day wind and cloud wise and you start fishing from Keurboomsstrand to nearly in Natures Valley and halfway, that is approx. 18km a storm pick's up you get gatvol and then they say Robberg is a tough walk, come see the difference. Then you're gatvol at it's best.

 

[Oldschoolfishie]

Ja ne. Its amazing how they still have not figured the science out yet hey. I ma watch my 3 sites and take a walk outside to try and figure out whos more accurate. Then i say west is Gordans Bay side and East is False Bay side.

 

[$harkBait1]

I simply wet my finger with my tongue and stick my hand up in the air to check the weather. Always works!!! Lol:fishn

 

[Vades]

Most accurate I have come across, have been using it for over a year for general weather reports: http://www.yr.no/place/South_Africa/Eastern_Cape/Port_Elizabeth/time_for_time_detaljert.html

 

[TOE 007]

mens vergeet soms dat net die Groot man upstairs weet presies wat die weer gaan maak .

Die klem val maar , op VOORSPELLING , ek stem wel saam dat die ouens wat weet van weer ens , sommer net goete opmaak , of dalk graag will he , hoe die weer moet wees .LOL

die ander manier wat ek hom werk is van WG , MSW en WF en tell BV die windspoed bymekaar en deel deur drie LOL maar dit werk ook nie .

op n meer ernstige noot , wat ek al well waargeneem het is dat of hulle is nogal akkuraat , of heeltemal Verkeer !

dis ma een van daai dinge , jy mens kan nou eenvoudig nie , nie die weer order soos mens graag wil nie , n geval van HIT AND MISS of near missis LOL

 

[Vasbait]

wavenet.csir has real time data, and forecasts. They arent a virtual bouy system more a observation station like the old days....These are the good old days !

 

[PH]

Vasbait wrote:

wavenet.csir has real time data, and forecasts. They arent a virtual bouy system more a observation station like the old days....These are the good old days !

We are fortunate to have one of their bouys outside Dbn harbour. We always check swell hights, wind characteristics, etc, before deciding to go kayaking.

We are about 12km from the ocean and its amazing how the wind strength can differ from our home to the coast sometimes.

 

[Fish4Fun]

Weather forecasters....right too often to ignore, wrong too often to take them seriously. To put it another way...the only job where you can be wrong 50% of the time....and not get fired.

 

[Abaddon]

Like I said in my Robberg report -

These forecasters have a room full of monkeys and they get them to toss their crap at various charts and that compiles the "data" for the forecast..

Having gotten it SOOOOO WRONG yesterday made my Robberg trip an absolute nightmare! You kinda rely on these forecasts when you have to travel great distances..

 

[Loligo]

Albie on your photo you still on the island, the wosrt still to come. Then still havet to walk back with a cracker and some cob.

Remember the morning Matjies came down !

 

[drkobus]

Ek dink ook dat YR.NO gee die beste voorspelling. Kyk maar na windguru en magicseaweed.com. Almal help om darem algemene weer te voorspel. Meeste van die tyd is hulle reg. Gee uur of 3 toe. Hulle is baie min keer toetaal verkeerd. Dit geld in elk geval in Saldanha waar ons soos die Kaap van die fronte weer veranderings kry. Moontlik meer moeilik hoe verder oos of binneland toe gaan.

 

[subaruseun]

i was quite fortunate to do a course in ocean swell conditions- for surfing.

what was clear that s prediction was exactly that... a forecast based on scientific information available at the time. why the two website are distinctly showing different conditions is a mystery because they both get their info from satellite.

also note that a weather system can speed up or slow down due to unforeseen influences...

 

[Albie Stoeder]

Look here Jan, same day different weather, look how the sea changed in 4hours time. This photo is taken approx 5km from home(looking in the direction of Keurboomsstrand) Now what do you do, turn around because of the weather or because the sea is getting tobig(rough). Nope, start fishing the channels between the rock's, a lot of times you can get lucky, it is not a hop, skip and jump back home, but then because of the weather you blank out more than 70%.

 

[davidwball]

morning guys

We must remember that the weather is done by the university of the transkie I think that will explain things